© Validation Estimating LLC

# Library

### PUBLICATIONS BY JOHN K. HOLLMANN PE CCP

### CEP DRMP

### Books and Book Chapters

2017 - Chap 3:”Systemic Risks and Parametric
Modeling” & “Chap 7: “Complexity Risk and
Modeling Disorder”: Handbook of Research on
Leveraging Risk and Uncertainties for Effective
Project Management (ed. Yuri Raydugin). IGI
Global.
2016 - “Project Risk Quantification: A Practitioner’s
Guide to Realistic Cost and Schedule Risk
Management” (Probabilistic Publishing).
Demonstration Parametric Models in Excel (per
Chapter 11 of above book) (file in “Quick Links”-
password provided with book purchase)
2015 - “Introduction” and “Strategic Asset
Management” chapters in: Skills and Knowledge of
a Cost Engineer, 6th Ed
2006 – “Total Cost Management Framework”,
Editor/Lead Author, 1st Edition (AACE’s Technical
Foundation)
2004 – “Asset Management” and “Skills
Integration” chapters in: Skills and Knowledge of a
Cost Engineer, 5th Ed
1997 – “Cost Estimating Methodologies”, Chapter 2
of Westney’s “The Engineer’s Cost Handbook”, CRC
Press
### Articles, Papers and Presentations

2019 - “Estimate Validation and Bias Assessment:
Ratio-to-Driver Method”, AACE Transactions
2017 - “Realistic and Practical Project Risk
Quantification (without CPM)” , AACE Transactions
2017 - “Variability in Accuracy Ranges: A Case
Study in the Canadian Power Transmission
Industry”, AACE Transactions
2016 - Overview of the book “Project Risk
Quantification”; Presented at the 2016 AACE
Annual Meeting
2016 - “Early History of Cost Engineering”:
Transactions and Cost Engr Journal, Mar/Apr 2017
2015 - “Study of Cost Engineering Salary and
Demographic Data from the AACE 2013 Salary
Survey”; self published
Model for above: Excel model of salary, bonuses
and hourly rates from paper above
2015 – “Risk Analysis at the Edge of Chaos”,
Transactions and Cost Engr Journal, Jan-Feb 2015.
2014 - “Variability in Accuracy Ranges: A Case
Study in the Canadian Hydropower Industry” AACE
Transactions
2014 – “Improve Your Contingency Estimates for
More Realistic Project Budgets”, Chemical
Engineering Mag, Dec 2014.
2012 – “Estimate Accuracy; Dealing with Reality”,
Transactions and Cost Engr Journal; Nov-Dec 2012.
2011 – “Cost Engineering’s Added Value —Making
Better Capital Investment Decisions”, Cost
Engineering Event
2010 – “Alternate Methods for Integrated Cost &
Schedule Contingency Estimating”, AACE
Transactions
2009 – “Recommended Practices for Risk Analysis &
Cost Contingency Estimating”, AACE Transactions
2008 – “Escalation Estimation: Lessons Learned in
Addressing Market Demand”, AACE Transactions
2007 – “Escalation Estimation: Working With
Economics Consultants”, AACE Transactions
2007 – “The Monte-Carlo Challenge: A Better
Approach”, AACE Transactions
2006 – “Core Competencies, Expectations, and
Career Path for an Estimating Professional”, AACE
Transactions
2002 – “A Planned Way for Smooth, Quick
Startups”, Cost Engineering Mag, Jul 2002
2002 – “Best Owner Practices for Project Control”,
AACE Transactions
2001 – “Controlling Project Costs”, Chemical
Engineering Magazine, Nov 2001
1996 – “Evolution of Estimating Systems at Kodak”,
AACE Transactions
1995 – “Project History – Closing the Loop”, AACE
Transactions
1994 – “A Building Square Foot Cost Estimating
System”, AACE Transactions
1989 – “Development of Conceptual Estimating
Support Systems at Kodak”, AACE Transactions
1987 – “Using Direct Measurement of Coal Core
Methane Content in Mine Planning”, Society of
Mine Engineers Mine Ventilation Symposium
Authored or Co-Authored (contributed to many
others as AACE Director of RPs from 2000-2013)
11R-88: REQUIRED SKILLS AND KNOWLEDGE OF
COST ENGINEERING (ref: TCM-2006)
19R-97: ESTIMATE PREPARATION COSTS – AS
APPLIED FOR THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES
40R-08: CONTINGENCY ESTIMATING-GENERAL
PRINCIPLES
43R-08: RISK ANALYSIS AND CONTINGENCY
DETERMINATION USING PARAMETRIC ESTIMATING
44R-08: RISK ANALYSIS AND CONTINGENCY
DETERMINATION USING EXPECTED VALUE
47R-11: COST ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM –
AS APPLIED IN THE MINING AND MINERAL
PROCESSING INDUSTRIES
58R-10: ESCALATION ESTIMATING PRINCIPLES AND
METHODS USING INDICES
65R-11: INTEGRATED COST AND SCHEDULE RISK
ANALYSIS AND CONTINGENCY DETERMINATION
USING EXPECTED VALUE
68R-11: ESCALATION ESTIMATING USING INDICES
AND MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
69R-12: COST ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM –
AS APPLIED IN THE HYDROPOWER INDUSTRY
71R-12: REQUIRED SKILLS AND KNOWLEDGE OF
DECISION AND RISK MANAGEMENT
73R-13: ESTABLISHING LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY
NORMS
96R-18: COST ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM –
AS APPLIED IN POWER TRANSMISSION
97R-18: COST ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM –
AS APPLIED IN PIPELINE TRANSPORTATION
98R-18: COST ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM –
AS APPLIED IN ROAD AND RAIL TRANSPORTATION
PDG-01: GUIDE TO COST ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION